Keyword → gold

Goldman Sachs Slashes S&P 500 Year-End Target to 5,800, Raises U.S. Recession Probability to 40%

Goldman Sachs released a sweeping bearish revision to its U.S. equity outlook on Sunday, cutting its year-end S&P 500 target from 6,500 to 5,800 and raising its 12-month recession probability to 40%, citing a historically rare confluence of stagflationary macro forces, geopolitical tail risk, and Federal Reserve policy error, sending S&P 500 futures sharply lower in Sunday evening trading.

Gold Breaks $3,200 Milestone for First Time in History as Stagflation Fears and Safe-Haven Demand Converge

Gold surged past the historic $3,200 per troy ounce level for the first time on Friday, closing at $3,218 on the COMEX spot market as stagflation fears, geopolitical risk, and central bank buying drove the precious metal to another all-time record, with gold mining stocks amplifying the move and the VanEck Gold Miners ETF surging more than 5% on the session.

Gold on Track for Worst Week Since 1983 as Iran War Paradox Crushes Safe-Haven Appeal, Rate-Hike Bets Surge

Gold is on pace for its worst weekly performance since 1983, shedding more than 10% week-to-date as a paradoxical dynamic grips precious metals markets: the Iran war that initially drove bullion to record highs above $5,400 per ounce has morphed into a catalyst for collapse, as the conflict's inflationary consequences harden the Federal Reserve's 'higher for longer' stance, push the U.S. dollar to multi-month highs, and force leveraged futures traders to liquidate positions at scale. Silver is simultaneously tracking toward its worst week since January 2026.

Gold Trades Near $4,571 as Stagflation Fears and Iran War Escalation Drive Safe-Haven Surge; J.P. Morgan Targets $5,055 by Year-End

Gold is trading near $4,571 per ounce on Thursday, having rallied sharply from under $3,000 earlier in 2025, as the Iran war, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and rising stagflation fears combine to make bullion one of the most compelling safe-haven assets in the current environment. J.P. Morgan Global Research is targeting $5,055 per ounce by year-end 2026, while some models project a path toward $6,500 if the energy crisis deepens and real yields fall as growth deteriorates.

Bitcoin Surges Through $75,000 as Iran War Reshapes Safe-Haven Narrative; BTC Outperforms Gold, Stocks Since Conflict Began

Bitcoin pushed through the psychologically significant $75,000 threshold in Asian trading on Tuesday — gaining nearly 14% since the Iran war erupted on February 28 — as the cryptocurrency increasingly attracts safe-haven capital that has historically flowed to gold and the U.S. dollar. With Brent crude up more than 40%, global equities down 4%, and gold actually lower on the month, Bitcoin's relative outperformance is forcing a fundamental reassessment of digital assets' role in institutional portfolios during geopolitical crises.

Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady in March as Iran War Stokes Inflation Fears and Complicates Policy Path

The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming March meeting, as surging oil prices from the U.S.-Iran conflict introduce a new inflationary wrinkle into an already complex monetary policy calculus. Markets are now watching the ISM Services PMI report due Tuesday for real-time signals on domestic economic health.

U.S.-Israel Strikes on Iran Trigger Broad Market Selloff as Oil Surges and Safe Havens Rally

A joint U.S.-Israeli military offensive against Iran, dubbed Operation Epic Fury, sent shockwaves through global financial markets on Monday, pushing oil prices up as much as 13 percent, gold above $5,400 per ounce, and sparking a broad equity selloff as investors repositioned into safe-haven assets amid fears of prolonged conflict and energy supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold Breaches $5,400 as Safe-Haven Demand Surges; JP Morgan Raises Year-End Target to $6,300

Spot gold prices surged nearly 2 percent to breach $5,400 per ounce on Monday as the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict drove intense safe-haven demand, with U.S. gold futures advancing 2.58 percent intraday and JPMorgan raising its year-end price target to $6,300 per ounce, citing sustained geopolitical risk, sticky inflation, and central bank buying as structural supports for bullion.

U.S.-Iran Nuclear Talks Resume With No Deal, Lifting Oil While Markets Brace for Geopolitical Risk

Diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program concluded in Geneva without a resolution, with technical-level discussions now scheduled to resume in Vienna next week. While the continuation of negotiations eased the most acute fears of an imminent military confrontation, analysts at Raymond James warned that a U.S. military operation against Iran remains likely at this stage, keeping crude oil elevated and energy stocks in focus.