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Iran Conflict Pushes U.S. Treasury Yields Higher, Challenging Safe-Haven Narrative

Escalating conflict involving U.S. and allied forces in Iran has paradoxically lifted U.S. Treasury yields as investors reassess safe-haven strategies and inflation expectations. Rather than a typical flight into bonds, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed above 4%, reflecting market anxiety over sustained energy price pressures and the potential for inflation to derail expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Dow Jones Plunges Over 900 Points as Geopolitical Tensions Rattle Markets

U.S. equity markets experienced a dramatic sell-off today as escalating conflict in the Middle East sent shockwaves through global financial markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 900 points, while major indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ also posted sharp losses, fueled in part by a surge in oil prices and renewed inflation concerns.

Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil Prices as Markets Rebound From Early Losses

Global equity markets showed signs of stabilization later in the session as some early losses were pared back, but the overarching influence of Middle Eastern geopolitical developments continued to drive volatility. Oil prices climbed sharply, benefiting energy stocks, while traditional defensive sectors attracted flows amid inflation and supply risk concerns.

Market Analysts Weigh Economic Impact of U.S.–Iran Conflict

Economists and market strategists offered varied assessments of how the burgeoning conflict in the Middle East may affect the broader U.S. economy and financial markets. While energy prices and inflation risks are top of mind, some analysts contend the effects may be modest and concentrated in specific sectors.

Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz as U.S.-Israeli Strikes Deepen, Sending Oil to Eight-Month Highs

The Islamic Republic declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to all maritime traffic on Tuesday as U.S. and Israeli forces launched a fourth consecutive day of strikes, pushing Brent crude above $84 per barrel. The closure of the world's most critical oil chokepoint — through which roughly a third of global seaborne crude exports pass — has ignited fears of a prolonged supply shock and rattled equity markets worldwide.

Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady in March as Iran War Stokes Inflation Fears and Complicates Policy Path

The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming March meeting, as surging oil prices from the U.S.-Iran conflict introduce a new inflationary wrinkle into an already complex monetary policy calculus. Markets are now watching the ISM Services PMI report due Tuesday for real-time signals on domestic economic health.

Global Markets Join Sell-Off as Geopolitical Risk Drives Energy Costs Higher

International equity markets weakened sharply amid renewed geopolitical tensions and a spike in energy prices, reinforcing global risk aversion. Stocks across Europe and Asia saw broad declines as investors digested heightened conflict in the Middle East and the possibility of supply disruptions. Energy and defense sectors outperformed, while traditional growth and travel sectors lagged amid rising risk premiums and inflation concerns.

U.S.-Israel Strikes on Iran Trigger Broad Market Selloff as Oil Surges and Safe Havens Rally

A joint U.S.-Israeli military offensive against Iran, dubbed Operation Epic Fury, sent shockwaves through global financial markets on Monday, pushing oil prices up as much as 13 percent, gold above $5,400 per ounce, and sparking a broad equity selloff as investors repositioned into safe-haven assets amid fears of prolonged conflict and energy supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold Breaches $5,400 as Safe-Haven Demand Surges; JP Morgan Raises Year-End Target to $6,300

Spot gold prices surged nearly 2 percent to breach $5,400 per ounce on Monday as the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict drove intense safe-haven demand, with U.S. gold futures advancing 2.58 percent intraday and JPMorgan raising its year-end price target to $6,300 per ounce, citing sustained geopolitical risk, sticky inflation, and central bank buying as structural supports for bullion.