Keyword → AG

Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady in March as Iran War Stokes Inflation Fears and Complicates Policy Path

The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming March meeting, as surging oil prices from the U.S.-Iran conflict introduce a new inflationary wrinkle into an already complex monetary policy calculus. Markets are now watching the ISM Services PMI report due Tuesday for real-time signals on domestic economic health.

Strait of Hormuz Effectively Closed: Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd, CMA CGM Halt All Transits as Shipping Stocks Surge

The world's four largest container shipping carriers suspended all vessel crossings through the Strait of Hormuz following Iranian attacks on tankers transiting the waterway, triggering a 70 percent drop in traffic and sending shares of Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd surging more than 4 percent as investors anticipated higher freight rates, war-risk surcharges, and prolonged rerouting of global cargo around Africa's Cape of Good Hope.

Gold Breaches $5,400 as Safe-Haven Demand Surges; JP Morgan Raises Year-End Target to $6,300

Spot gold prices surged nearly 2 percent to breach $5,400 per ounce on Monday as the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict drove intense safe-haven demand, with U.S. gold futures advancing 2.58 percent intraday and JPMorgan raising its year-end price target to $6,300 per ounce, citing sustained geopolitical risk, sticky inflation, and central bank buying as structural supports for bullion.

Mortgage Rates Hit Three-Year Low, Offering Support to Housing and Financial Stocks

Mortgage rates in the U.S. have fallen to their lowest point in three years, potentially boosting housing demand and lending activity. The drop reflects broader bond market dynamics and could have spillover effects into financial and real estate sectors as borrowing costs ease.

U.S. Primary Credit Market Competition Hits Record High as Bond Demand Surges

A Barclays report published today shows competition in the U.S. primary credit market reaching unprecedented levels, driven by strong investor demand for corporate bonds. Issuance in both investment-grade and high-yield sectors saw marked increases in allocations, reflecting surging investor interest and structural shifts. Robust demand is pushing trading activity higher across large deals, with implications for credit spreads and yield curves as investors reprice risk in fixed income markets.

Gold Surges Past $5,100 Per Ounce as Trade Chaos and Dollar Weakness Drive Safe-Haven Demand

Gold prices climbed above $5,100 per ounce on Monday as investors fled to safe-haven assets following President Trump's announcement of a 15% global tariff and the resulting uncertainty over the future of U.S. trade policy. The dollar fell against major currencies including the yen, euro, and Swiss franc, amplifying gold's move higher, while silver surged to approximately $85 per ounce. Mining stocks and precious metals ETFs rallied sharply, outperforming a broadly weaker equity market.

Gold Surges Past $5,044 as U.S. Military Strikes on Iran Seen as Imminent, Oil Markets on Edge

Gold prices surged to $5,044 per ounce on Friday as reports circulated that U.S. national security officials have briefed President Trump that the military is prepared for potential strikes on Iran, sending safe-haven assets sharply higher and pushing silver above $80 per ounce, while defense stocks and energy equities rallied on the prospect of broader Middle East conflict.

Gold Hovers Near $5,000 as Safe-Haven Demand, Central Bank Buying, and Rate Uncertainty Converge

Gold remained firmly anchored near the $4,990 per ounce level on Thursday as a confluence of persistent geopolitical tensions, continued central bank accumulation led by China's People's Bank, and growing expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts kept bullion elevated after its historic surge of more than 60% in 2025 — with major banks targeting prices well above $5,000 by year-end.

Kevin Warsh Nomination Advances as Markets Weigh Federal Reserve Independence Risk and Monetary Policy Shift

President Trump's nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair remains a defining market overhang, with Senate confirmation complicated by bipartisan resistance tied to the administration's criminal investigation into Powell. As Powell's term expires in May, investors are recalibrating rate-cut expectations and reassessing rate-sensitive sectors from housing to financials given Warsh's historically hawkish monetary policy record.