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Q1 2026 Earnings Season Kicks Off — JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Set to Report as Banks Navigate Tariff and Rate Uncertainty

Q1 2026 earnings season officially begins this week with major banks leading the charge, and Friday's blockbuster March jobs report — 178,000 payrolls added against a 51,000 consensus — has substantially improved the setup for financial sector results, even as the broader market navigates 15% global tariffs, $110 oil, and Moody's 49% recession probability estimate.

Major Banks Announce Expanded Share Buyback Programs Ahead of Q1 2026 Earnings

JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America each disclosed expanded share repurchase authorizations ahead of Q1 2026 earnings season, signaling confidence in capital positions and near-term earnings power. The announcements come as robust trading revenues and resilient net interest income support a broadly bullish bank sector outlook.

Delta and American Airlines Lift Q1 Revenue Guidance to Record Levels Despite $400 Million Fuel Cost Hit From Iran War

Delta Air Lines and American Airlines each raised their first-quarter 2026 revenue guidance to record levels on Tuesday at the JPMorgan Industrials Conference — Delta targeting $15.0–$15.3 billion with high-single-digit growth and American projecting its highest-ever year-over-year quarterly revenue gain above 10% — as surging bookings from corporate and leisure travelers more than offset a $400 million per carrier fuel cost shock driven by the Iran war.

Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady in March as Iran War Stokes Inflation Fears and Complicates Policy Path

The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming March meeting, as surging oil prices from the U.S.-Iran conflict introduce a new inflationary wrinkle into an already complex monetary policy calculus. Markets are now watching the ISM Services PMI report due Tuesday for real-time signals on domestic economic health.

Gold Breaches $5,400 as Safe-Haven Demand Surges; JP Morgan Raises Year-End Target to $6,300

Spot gold prices surged nearly 2 percent to breach $5,400 per ounce on Monday as the escalating U.S.-Iran conflict drove intense safe-haven demand, with U.S. gold futures advancing 2.58 percent intraday and JPMorgan raising its year-end price target to $6,300 per ounce, citing sustained geopolitical risk, sticky inflation, and central bank buying as structural supports for bullion.

ISM Manufacturing PMI Holds at 52.4% in February, But Input Price Surge Raises Fed Rate-Cut Doubts

The Institute for Supply Management reported that U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for the second consecutive month in February, with the PMI reading at 52.4 percent, but the report's input prices sub-index soared at its fastest pace since 2022, reinforcing investor concerns that renewed inflationary pressures — now compounded by surging oil prices from the Iran conflict — could lead the Federal Reserve to delay or abandon interest rate cuts in the months ahead.

U.S. Business Activity Growth Slows Significantly in February, Signals Economic Softening

New data from S&P Global shows that U.S. business activity expanded at the slowest pace in nearly a year in February, reflecting reduced manufacturing orders and slower services growth. While the economy remains in expansion territory, the slowdown could weigh on sentiment and corporate investment plans if the trend persists, particularly in cyclical sectors tied to industrial production and hiring.

Cisco Stock Plunges 11% Despite Earnings Beat as Margin Concerns Overshadow AI Infrastructure Gains

Cisco Systems reported better-than-expected second quarter fiscal 2026 results with revenue of $15.35 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.04, but shares tumbled 11% in Thursday trading as the company's profit margin guidance disappointed investors. Rising memory chip costs and tepid forward projections overshadowed robust AI infrastructure order growth of $2.1 billion.

Wall Street Sees Record Crypto Fund Inflows in 2025 and Continued Growth in 2026

JPMorgan analysts report crypto fund inflows hit a record $130 billion in 2025 and expect further institutional demand in 2026, signaling growing integration of digital assets into mainstream finance.