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Tax Foundation Report Confirms Tariffs as Largest Tax Hike Since 1993, Weighing on 2026 Outlook

A comprehensive analysis released today by the Tax Foundation reveals that the cumulative impact of recent US tariffs represents the largest tax increase as a share of GDP in over three decades. The report estimates an average annual burden of $1,300 per US household in 2026, with businesses and consumers bearing nearly 90% of the costs. This structural drag is increasingly reflected in the downward revision of earnings guidance across the industrial, consumer discretionary, and healthcare sectors.

Walmart Fourth Quarter Earnings Tomorrow to Provide Critical Read on U.S. Consumer Resilience

Walmart will report fiscal fourth quarter 2026 results before market open Thursday, with analysts forecasting adjusted EPS of $0.73 and revenue between $188.6-$190.5 billion. The report represents a pivotal test for the $1 trillion retailer following a 43-day government shutdown and carries outsized importance as a barometer of American consumer health amid a K-shaped recovery that has seen Walmart capture 75% of market share gains from households earning over $100,000.

Tariff Burden on U.S. Households Hits $1,300 as Corporate Guidance Flags Mounting Trade Policy Headwinds

Tax Foundation analysis confirms that President Trump's cumulative tariff regime now represents the largest U.S. tax increase as a share of GDP since 1993, imposing an average annual burden of $1,300 per household in 2026. With Goldman Sachs estimating American companies and consumers bear over three-quarters of tariff costs, earnings guidance across industrials, consumer discretionary, and healthcare is increasingly reflecting this structural drag on margins and consumer demand.

Earnings Movers: Applied Materials, Rivian, Coinbase Lead Stock Action

A broad set of individual stocks showed significant moves as investors assessed mixed earnings results and guidance. Semiconductor equipment maker Applied Materials and electric vehicle maker Rivian surged on strong quarterly results, while several other companies including Pinterest and DraftKings saw pronounced declines, illustrating divergent sector performance amid ongoing market volatility.

Steel Stocks Slip on Rumored Tariff Rollback

Shares of major U.S. steel producers fell as concerns mounted that the White House may roll back tariffs on imported steel and aluminum implemented in 2025. Investors are pricing in a potential reduction in protection for domestic producers, weighing on earnings outlooks for companies that had benefited from elevated commodity prices and strong domestic demand.

Organic Snacks IPO Sees Strong Debut With Double-Digit Gains

Once Upon a Farm PBC’s shares surged in their trading debut on Friday after the organic snacks maker raised nearly $198 million in an initial public offering. The double-digit gain highlights strong investor appetite for consumer brands with sustainability angles, marking one of the most watched listings of the year with broader implications for the IPO pipeline.