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Middle East Conflict Lifts Oil Prices as Markets Rebound From Early Losses

Global equity markets showed signs of stabilization later in the session as some early losses were pared back, but the overarching influence of Middle Eastern geopolitical developments continued to drive volatility. Oil prices climbed sharply, benefiting energy stocks, while traditional defensive sectors attracted flows amid inflation and supply risk concerns.

Market Analysts Weigh Economic Impact of U.S.–Iran Conflict

Economists and market strategists offered varied assessments of how the burgeoning conflict in the Middle East may affect the broader U.S. economy and financial markets. While energy prices and inflation risks are top of mind, some analysts contend the effects may be modest and concentrated in specific sectors.

Safe Harbor Financial Reports 29% Growth in Emerging Cannabis Banking

Safe Harbor Financial today announced robust year-over-year growth of 29% in its emerging U.S. cannabis banking segment, driven by more than 100 new customer accounts. The expansion highlights ongoing opportunities in niche financial services and the broader cannabis sector as regulatory and market conditions evolve.

Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady in March as Iran War Stokes Inflation Fears and Complicates Policy Path

The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming March meeting, as surging oil prices from the U.S.-Iran conflict introduce a new inflationary wrinkle into an already complex monetary policy calculus. Markets are now watching the ISM Services PMI report due Tuesday for real-time signals on domestic economic health.

Global Markets Join Sell-Off as Geopolitical Risk Drives Energy Costs Higher

International equity markets weakened sharply amid renewed geopolitical tensions and a spike in energy prices, reinforcing global risk aversion. Stocks across Europe and Asia saw broad declines as investors digested heightened conflict in the Middle East and the possibility of supply disruptions. Energy and defense sectors outperformed, while traditional growth and travel sectors lagged amid rising risk premiums and inflation concerns.

Producer Price Index Surges in January, Crushing Rate-Cut Hopes and Sending Markets Lower

January's Producer Price Index rose 0.5% against a 0.3% consensus estimate, while core PPI surged 0.8% — more than double expectations. The hotter-than-forecast wholesale inflation data reinforced bets that the Federal Reserve will hold rates higher for longer, sending the Dow down more than 700 points and extending what is shaping up to be the S&P 500's worst monthly performance since March 2025.

HSBC Strategists Slash U.S. Equity Overweight, Favor Global Markets

HSBC’s global strategists sharply reduced their overweight position in U.S. equities, reallocating toward emerging markets and European stocks as economic momentum abroad appears stronger. The shift reflects concerns about U.S. equity valuations and changing growth prospects, signaling cross-border flow impacts for market participants adjusting risk exposures.

U.S. Primary Credit Market Competition Hits Record High as Bond Demand Surges

A Barclays report published today shows competition in the U.S. primary credit market reaching unprecedented levels, driven by strong investor demand for corporate bonds. Issuance in both investment-grade and high-yield sectors saw marked increases in allocations, reflecting surging investor interest and structural shifts. Robust demand is pushing trading activity higher across large deals, with implications for credit spreads and yield curves as investors reprice risk in fixed income markets.

Mortgage Rates Fall as U.S. 30-Year Average Drops to 6.04%

On February 25, 2026, Bankrate data show U.S. mortgage rates for 30-year fixed loans fell to an average of 6.04%, marking a notable decline from recent peaks. Despite historically elevated levels relative to pre-2023 norms, this drop offers potential relief to homebuyers and may support housing demand. Persistent inflation pressures, however, mean Federal Reserve rate policy remains cautious, with future cuts hinging on inflation progress and economic data.