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Producer Price Index Surges in January, Crushing Rate-Cut Hopes and Sending Markets Lower

January's Producer Price Index rose 0.5% against a 0.3% consensus estimate, while core PPI surged 0.8% — more than double expectations. The hotter-than-forecast wholesale inflation data reinforced bets that the Federal Reserve will hold rates higher for longer, sending the Dow down more than 700 points and extending what is shaping up to be the S&P 500's worst monthly performance since March 2025.

U.S.-Iran Nuclear Talks Resume With No Deal, Lifting Oil While Markets Brace for Geopolitical Risk

Diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran over Tehran's nuclear program concluded in Geneva without a resolution, with technical-level discussions now scheduled to resume in Vienna next week. While the continuation of negotiations eased the most acute fears of an imminent military confrontation, analysts at Raymond James warned that a U.S. military operation against Iran remains likely at this stage, keeping crude oil elevated and energy stocks in focus.

Gold Surges Past $5,100 Per Ounce as Trade Chaos and Dollar Weakness Drive Safe-Haven Demand

Gold prices climbed above $5,100 per ounce on Monday as investors fled to safe-haven assets following President Trump's announcement of a 15% global tariff and the resulting uncertainty over the future of U.S. trade policy. The dollar fell against major currencies including the yen, euro, and Swiss franc, amplifying gold's move higher, while silver surged to approximately $85 per ounce. Mining stocks and precious metals ETFs rallied sharply, outperforming a broadly weaker equity market.

U.S. Fourth-Quarter GDP Slumps to 1.4%, Core PCE Inflation Climbs to 3% in Stagflation-Lite Warning

The U.S. economy expanded at a meager annualized rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025, sharply missing consensus expectations of 2.8% to 3%, while the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, accelerated to 3.0% — a combination that has investors bracing for a prolonged pause in rate cuts and reigniting fears of a stagflationary environment heading into 2026.

Gold Surges Past $5,044 as U.S. Military Strikes on Iran Seen as Imminent, Oil Markets on Edge

Gold prices surged to $5,044 per ounce on Friday as reports circulated that U.S. national security officials have briefed President Trump that the military is prepared for potential strikes on Iran, sending safe-haven assets sharply higher and pushing silver above $80 per ounce, while defense stocks and energy equities rallied on the prospect of broader Middle East conflict.

Fed Minutes Reveal Deep Divide on Rate Path as Powell Succession Looms

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting, released Wednesday, showed officials broadly endorsing a pause in rate cuts but sharply divided on what comes next, with some members open to resuming easing if inflation continues to cool and others arguing for an extended hold — a split that is amplifying market uncertainty ahead of Friday's critical GDP and PCE data release.

Gold Hovers Near $5,000 as Safe-Haven Demand, Central Bank Buying, and Rate Uncertainty Converge

Gold remained firmly anchored near the $4,990 per ounce level on Thursday as a confluence of persistent geopolitical tensions, continued central bank accumulation led by China's People's Bank, and growing expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts kept bullion elevated after its historic surge of more than 60% in 2025 — with major banks targeting prices well above $5,000 by year-end.

Global Markets Muted as AI Jitters and Geopolitical Tensions Influence Traders

Global stock markets were largely quiet, with muted trading in Europe and Asia as investors balanced concerns over AI sector pressure with geopolitical developments including U.S.-Iran talks. Futures for major U.S. indices remained lower, while commodities such as crude oil saw modest gains amid shifting risk sentiment.

January Jobs Report Shows 130K Payroll Gains Amid Critical Benchmark Revisions

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released delayed January employment data showing 130,000 new jobs added, exceeding expectations of 70,000. However, annual benchmark revisions revealed 2025 employment was significantly weaker than previously reported, with total job gains revised down from 584,000 to just 181,000 for the year.