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Nasdaq-100 Futures Rebound 1.2% on July 4 Holiday as Banks Raise S&P 500 Targets — Citi Sets 8,100, Goldman Sets 8,000

Nasdaq-100 futures rose 1.2% during abbreviated Independence Day holiday trading as Asian markets staged a 2% recovery after heavy semiconductor profit-taking earlier in the week. Citi raised its S&P 500 target to 8,100 and Goldman Sachs to 8,000, with both citing AI infrastructure earnings as the primary growth driver. The recovery comes after a mid-week slide in which the PHLX Semiconductor Index fell 6.7% in a single session following a near-doubling in Q2.

June Nonfarm Payrolls Due at 8:30 AM — Consensus Expects 100,000 Jobs as Fed Rate-Hike Odds Hit 54.5% for 2026

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the June nonfarm payrolls report today at 8:30 AM ET, with Wall Street consensus at 100,000 new jobs versus 172,000 in May. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold at 4.3%, and average hourly earnings are expected at 0.3% month-over-month. Markets pricing a 54.5% chance of a Fed rate hike by year-end. Wednesday's soft ADP print of 98,000 private-sector jobs has left investors on edge ahead of the binary catalyst.

Micron Technology Falls 10.6%, Sandisk Drops 10.6%, Intel Loses 9% — Semiconductor Rout Wipes Out $1T+ in One Session

Micron Technology and Sandisk each plunged more than 10.6% Wednesday while AMD fell 6.9% and Intel sank 9%, as profit-taking in the AI-chip complex erased more than $1 trillion in semiconductor market value. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF lost 5.4%. South Korea's Kospi collapsed 7.89% overnight in response, with SK Hynix down over 12%. Analysts attributed the selloff to valuation fatigue after the sector's extraordinary first-half run rather than any fundamental deterioration.

Meta Platforms Rises 8.8% on Meta Compute Cloud Launch — $145B AI Capex Strategy Reframed as Revenue Asset

Meta Platforms jumped 8.8% after Bloomberg reported the company plans to launch Meta Compute, a cloud business selling excess AI computing capacity and model access externally to compete with AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud. The move reframes Meta's $125 billion to $145 billion 2026 capital expenditure plan from a spending concern to a potential revenue engine. CEO Mark Zuckerberg's pivot offered the single biggest counterweight to Wednesday's broad semiconductor and tech selloff.

Semiconductor Stocks Fall 7–9% in Premarket — Rate-Hike Fears and Profit-Taking Hit Micron, SanDisk, Nvidia After Record Q2

Micron Technology fell 7%, SanDisk dropped 9%, and Nvidia shed 2.5% in premarket trading as investors took profits following the best quarter for chips since the sector's inception, with rate-hike fears amplifying the selling. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF gained 82% in the first half of 2026. Thursday's hotter-than-expected PCE print gave traders additional cover to trim exposure in the year's most crowded trade as the second half of 2026 begins.

ADP June Payrolls Miss at 98,000 vs. 118,000 Estimate — Weakest Private Hiring Since May 2025 Signals Labor Cooling

U.S. private employers added 98,000 jobs in June, falling short of the 118,000 economist consensus and down from an unrevised 122,000 in May, according to ADP's National Employment Report released this morning. Annual pay grew 4.4% year-over-year. The miss sets up a cautious tone ahead of Friday's official nonfarm payrolls report and adds complexity to a Fed weighing sticky inflation against softening labor demand ahead of a potential 2026 rate hike.

Kroger Acquires Giant Eagle for $1.65 Billion — 197 Stores Across 5 States Expand Midwest Grocery Footprint

Kroger announced a definitive agreement to acquire Giant Eagle for $1.65 billion, comprising $1.25 billion in cash and roughly $400 million in assumed liabilities, adding 197 supermarkets and 11 standalone pharmacies across Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Maryland, and Indiana. The deal, which carries Giant Eagle's roughly $9 billion in annual sales, is expected to close in 2027. Kroger plans to finance the acquisition with cash while maintaining its $2 billion share repurchase program.

Shutterstock Plunges 28% as Getty Images Terminates $3.7 Billion Merger — UK CMA Editorial Divestiture Condition Rejected

Shutterstock fell 28% in premarket trading after Getty Images announced it will terminate their $3.7 billion merger agreement by July 6, refusing the UK Competition and Markets Authority's condition that Shutterstock divest its editorial business. Getty's board voted unanimously against the divestiture and will now pursue a special mandatory redemption of its 10.5% senior secured notes due 2030 while engaging a financial advisor to explore strategic financing alternatives.

S&P 500 Futures Slip 0.3% to Open H2 2026 — Nasdaq-100 Futures Drop 0.9% as Best Quarter Since 2020 Gives Way to Rate-Hike Anxiety

S&P 500 futures fell 0.3% and Nasdaq-100 futures dropped 0.9% to open the second half of 2026, reversing Tuesday's gains that capped the strongest quarter for US equities since 2020. The S&P 500 rallied more than 14% in Q2, the Nasdaq gained roughly 20%, and the Dow added over 12%. Now markets face a Fed projecting at least one rate hike, a weak ADP jobs print, and a chip sector under profit-taking pressure before Friday's nonfarm payrolls report.