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Trump Imposes 10% Global Tariff Under Section 122, Rattling Markets and Prompting EU Warning

President Donald Trump has activated a 10% blanket tariff on imports from virtually every country under the rarely invoked Section 122 of U.S. trade law, following the Supreme Court's decision to strike down his earlier reciprocal tariff regime. The European Commission responded swiftly, warning that the new levies are not conducive to fair transatlantic trade and threatening retaliatory measures, sending major U.S. equity indexes sharply lower before a partial recovery on Tuesday.

Home Depot Beats Q4 Estimates, Raises Dividend as Housing Market Recovery Gains Traction

Home Depot reported stronger-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, posting earnings per share of $2.72 against the $2.54 consensus estimate and revenue of $38.2 billion that narrowly topped forecasts. The home improvement retailer also raised its quarterly dividend to $2.33 per share and reported a 0.4% increase in comparable sales, offering investors an early signal that the U.S. housing market recovery is providing a modest but real tailwind to big-ticket home improvement spending.

U.S. Fourth-Quarter GDP Slumps to 1.4%, Core PCE Inflation Climbs to 3% in Stagflation-Lite Warning

The U.S. economy expanded at a meager annualized rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025, sharply missing consensus expectations of 2.8% to 3%, while the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, accelerated to 3.0% — a combination that has investors bracing for a prolonged pause in rate cuts and reigniting fears of a stagflationary environment heading into 2026.

Walmart Beats Q4 Estimates but Soft Full-Year Guidance Rattles Investors

Walmart delivered better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings and revenue on Thursday, fueled by robust e-commerce growth and expanding advertising revenue, but its full-year earnings outlook of $2.75 to $2.85 per share fell short of Wall Street's consensus of $2.96, sending shares modestly lower in premarket trading and raising questions about the pace of margin expansion under its new chief executive.

Market Risks Rise as Investor Optimism Nears Multi-Year Highs

Investor sentiment has surged to levels not seen in years, raising concerns among strategists that markets may be overextended and vulnerable to correction. With broad bullishness persisting and allocations heavily tilted toward equities, analysts advise selectivity in stock picking as risks tied to inflation and rising yields intensify.

Tax Foundation Report Confirms Tariffs as Largest Tax Hike Since 1993, Weighing on 2026 Outlook

A comprehensive analysis released today by the Tax Foundation reveals that the cumulative impact of recent US tariffs represents the largest tax increase as a share of GDP in over three decades. The report estimates an average annual burden of $1,300 per US household in 2026, with businesses and consumers bearing nearly 90% of the costs. This structural drag is increasingly reflected in the downward revision of earnings guidance across the industrial, consumer discretionary, and healthcare sectors.

Walmart Fourth Quarter Earnings Tomorrow to Provide Critical Read on U.S. Consumer Resilience

Walmart will report fiscal fourth quarter 2026 results before market open Thursday, with analysts forecasting adjusted EPS of $0.73 and revenue between $188.6-$190.5 billion. The report represents a pivotal test for the $1 trillion retailer following a 43-day government shutdown and carries outsized importance as a barometer of American consumer health amid a K-shaped recovery that has seen Walmart capture 75% of market share gains from households earning over $100,000.

Tariff Burden on U.S. Households Hits $1,300 as Corporate Guidance Flags Mounting Trade Policy Headwinds

Tax Foundation analysis confirms that President Trump's cumulative tariff regime now represents the largest U.S. tax increase as a share of GDP since 1993, imposing an average annual burden of $1,300 per household in 2026. With Goldman Sachs estimating American companies and consumers bear over three-quarters of tariff costs, earnings guidance across industrials, consumer discretionary, and healthcare is increasingly reflecting this structural drag on margins and consumer demand.

U.S. Housing Market Inventory Hits 5-Year High, Cooling Price Growth

A surge in new home completions and a rise in existing home listings have pushed U.S. housing inventory to its highest level since 2021, providing much-needed relief to buyers.