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U.S. Stock Futures Slide as Oil Shock Revives Stagflation Fears

U.S. stock futures fell sharply Monday as surging oil prices intensified fears that the global economy could face a renewed period of stagflation. Investors are reassessing growth expectations and Federal Reserve policy prospects as rising energy costs threaten to push inflation higher while economic momentum shows signs of weakening.

Wall Street Strategists Warn Iran War Could Raise Risk of Market Meltdown

Wall Street strategists are warning that escalating tensions with Iran could significantly increase the risk of a major market downturn in 2026. Rising energy prices, geopolitical instability, and fragile investor sentiment are combining to create a volatile environment that could challenge global equities in the months ahead.

Middle East War Rattles Markets as Brent Crude Climbs Toward $84 and Iran Vows Escalation

U.S. equity futures retreated Thursday as Brent crude resumed its climb toward $84 a barrel after Iran pledged to escalate its retaliation against American and Israeli strikes, disrupting Persian Gulf shipping lanes and reigniting fears that prolonged conflict could stoke inflation and delay Federal Reserve rate cuts well into 2026.

Weekly Jobless Claims and Factory Orders Data Take Center Stage Ahead of Friday Payrolls Report

Markets are bracing for Thursday's Department of Labor weekly jobless claims release and January factory orders data, which together will help investors calibrate expectations for Friday's comprehensive February nonfarm payrolls report — a pivotal number for Federal Reserve rate policy at a moment when oil-driven inflation, global tariffs, and Middle East tensions are all complicating the central bank's calculus.

Wall Street Opens Higher as Iran Secret Outreach Eases Geopolitical Tensions

U.S. stock indexes opened higher Wednesday following reports that Iranian operatives had made a secret outreach to American officials aimed at initiating talks to end the escalating conflict in the Middle East. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite all gained ground in early trading amid a broader risk-on sentiment, as oil price pressures showed signs of moderation and investor confidence was buoyed by optimism for de-escalation.

Stock Futures Rally Amid Mixed Data, Oil Stabilization Signals Soft Landing Hope

Stock futures in the U.S. pointed modestly higher on Wednesday as traders digested a mix of economic indicators and geopolitical news. After recent volatility tied to the Middle East conflict, oil prices showed signs of stabilization and moderating inflation fears, giving equities a slight boost ahead of the trading session. Investors also monitored corporate earnings projections and bond market movements as they weighed broader economic resilience against ongoing risk factors.

Iran Conflict Pushes U.S. Treasury Yields Higher, Challenging Safe-Haven Narrative

Escalating conflict involving U.S. and allied forces in Iran has paradoxically lifted U.S. Treasury yields as investors reassess safe-haven strategies and inflation expectations. Rather than a typical flight into bonds, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed above 4%, reflecting market anxiety over sustained energy price pressures and the potential for inflation to derail expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady in March as Iran War Stokes Inflation Fears and Complicates Policy Path

The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming March meeting, as surging oil prices from the U.S.-Iran conflict introduce a new inflationary wrinkle into an already complex monetary policy calculus. Markets are now watching the ISM Services PMI report due Tuesday for real-time signals on domestic economic health.

Global Markets Join Sell-Off as Geopolitical Risk Drives Energy Costs Higher

International equity markets weakened sharply amid renewed geopolitical tensions and a spike in energy prices, reinforcing global risk aversion. Stocks across Europe and Asia saw broad declines as investors digested heightened conflict in the Middle East and the possibility of supply disruptions. Energy and defense sectors outperformed, while traditional growth and travel sectors lagged amid rising risk premiums and inflation concerns.