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U.S. Economy Entered 2026 at Weakest Pace Since Pandemic as Q4 GDP Revised Down to 0.7%, Raising Stagflation Fears

Mar 17, 2026

negative

U.S. Economy Entered 2026 at Weakest Pace Since Pandemic as Q4 GDP Revised Down to 0.7%, Raising Stagflation Fears

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis revised Q4 2025 GDP growth sharply lower to a 0.7% annualized rate — half the government's initial estimate and well below economists' 1.4% forecast — painting a troubling portrait of an economy that was already weakening before the Iran war erupted and sent oil prices soaring. The data, combined with a January job market that shed 92,000 positions and lingering above-3% inflation, has amplified stagflation fears ahead of a critical Federal Reserve meeting.

GSJPMBACMSC +25 more
Stock Markets Close Mixed on Presidents' Day Eve as AI Disruption Concerns Offset Inflation Relief

Feb 16, 2026

neutral

Stock Markets Close Mixed on Presidents' Day Eve as AI Disruption Concerns Offset Inflation Relief

U.S. equity markets ended Friday's session with minimal movement despite better-than-expected January inflation data, as the S&P 500 edged up 0.05% while the Nasdaq declined 0.22%. Persistent concerns about artificial intelligence disrupting business models across software, financial services, and logistics sectors prevented a sustained rally, with investors rotating into defensive stocks and rate-sensitive sectors ahead of the Presidents' Day holiday closure.

IRS Refund Expectations May Rise as Tax Season Begins

Feb 6, 2026

positive

IRS Refund Expectations May Rise as Tax Season Begins

As the U.S. tax filing season gets underway, expectations for higher average refunds this year are emerging amid updated guidance from the IRS and broader fiscal considerations. Analysts suggest that higher expected refunds could boost consumer spending in the first half of the year, with implications for retail sales, personal finance trends, and broader economic data releases.

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