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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Falls to 57.0 — Tariff Fears Push Inflation Expectations to 5.0%

The University of Michigan's final March consumer sentiment index dropped to 57.0, below the preliminary reading of 57.9 and the lowest since September 2025, as American households grew increasingly anxious about the impact of tariff-driven price increases on their finances. One-year inflation expectations surged to 5.0%, the highest reading since 2022, adding a stagflationary wrinkle to Friday's PCE data.

U.S. GDP Growth Confirmed at 2.4% for Q4 2025, Beating Initial Estimate

The Bureau of Economic Analysis on Thursday confirmed U.S. GDP expanded at an annualized rate of 2.4% in Q4 2025, topping the advance estimate of 2.3% and reinforcing economic resilience heading into 2026. Upward revisions to consumer spending and nonresidential fixed investment drove the beat, tempering stagflation concerns.

Weekly Jobless Claims Fall to 205,000, Signaling Continued Labor Market Strength

Initial unemployment claims dropped to 205,000 for the week ending March 21, the lowest reading since November 2025 and well below economists' forecasts of 218,000. The data reinforces a robust labor market that has supported consumer spending and corporate earnings even as the Federal Reserve maintains elevated interest rates.

Consumer Confidence Hits Lowest Since 2020 as Inflation Expectations Surge; Recession Watch Intensifies

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index fell sharply to 88.3 in March, its lowest reading since the pandemic lows of 2020, as one-year inflation expectations jumped to 5.8% — the highest since 2022 — in a combination that is forcing economists to sharply revise their recession probability models and raising fresh questions about the durability of U.S. consumer spending.

Gold Breaks $3,200 Milestone for First Time in History as Stagflation Fears and Safe-Haven Demand Converge

Gold surged past the historic $3,200 per troy ounce level for the first time on Friday, closing at $3,218 on the COMEX spot market as stagflation fears, geopolitical risk, and central bank buying drove the precious metal to another all-time record, with gold mining stocks amplifying the move and the VanEck Gold Miners ETF surging more than 5% on the session.

Gold Trades Near $4,571 as Stagflation Fears and Iran War Escalation Drive Safe-Haven Surge; J.P. Morgan Targets $5,055 by Year-End

Gold is trading near $4,571 per ounce on Thursday, having rallied sharply from under $3,000 earlier in 2025, as the Iran war, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and rising stagflation fears combine to make bullion one of the most compelling safe-haven assets in the current environment. J.P. Morgan Global Research is targeting $5,055 per ounce by year-end 2026, while some models project a path toward $6,500 if the energy crisis deepens and real yields fall as growth deteriorates.

FedEx Reports Q3 Fiscal 2026 After Close Thursday: DRIVE Cost Cuts, Middle East Freight Risk, and Freight Spin-Off Timeline in Focus

FedEx is set to report its fiscal Q3 2026 results after Thursday's market close, with analysts expecting revenue of approximately $23.5 billion and EPS of $4.13–$4.23. The report comes at a critical juncture: the company's DRIVE cost-reduction program is delivering structural margin improvements, but surging oil prices and Middle East shipping disruptions represent a near-term headwind that management will need to address. Investors are also watching for updates on the planned FedEx Freight spin-off, scheduled for June 2026.

Lululemon Beats Q4 Estimates But Shocks Investors With Bleak 2026 Guidance; Americas Revenue Slides, CEO Search Drags On

Lululemon Athletica beat fourth-quarter earnings estimates Tuesday evening, reporting Q4 revenue of $3.64 billion and EPS of $5.01, but the company's 2026 guidance delivered a stark warning to investors: full-year EPS is projected to fall to $12.10–$12.30 from $13.26 in fiscal 2025, marking a second consecutive year of declining profitability. Americas revenue fell 4% in Q4 and is expected to decline a further 1%–3% in 2026, while the company continues to operate without a permanent CEO.

Amazon Launches 1-Hour and 3-Hour Delivery Across U.S. Cities in Direct Challenge to Walmart's Same-Day Dominance

Amazon announced Tuesday that it is rolling out 1-hour and 3-hour delivery services across hundreds and thousands of U.S. cities respectively — marking its most aggressive assault yet on Walmart's same-day shipping dominance. With more than 90,000 products eligible for sub-3-hour fulfillment, Prime members paying $9.99 for 1-hour and $4.99 for 3-hour delivery, and an 'Amazon Now' 30-minute test underway in select markets, the e-commerce giant is shifting the battleground of retail logistics to the realm of near-instant gratification.