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Dow Gains 83 Points to Record High as Dow Rotates Away from AI Chips — S&P 500 and Nasdaq Fall 0.2% and 0.7%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 83 points, or 0.2%, to a fresh all-time intraday high, while the S&P 500 fell 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.7% as investors rotated out of semiconductor names following Samsung's disappointing revenue guidance. Micron fell 5%, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF dropped more than 3%, and chipmakers including KLA, Marvell, Broadcom, and AMD all declined. Gains in JPMorgan, Microsoft, Eli Lilly, and Walmart offset selling pressure in the broader market.

June Jobs Report Adds Only 57,000 vs. 110,000 Expected — September Hike Odds Plunge to 50.7% as Labor Market Cools

The U.S. economy added just 57,000 jobs in June, barely half the 110,000 consensus forecast and the fewest in four months, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Prior-month revisions subtracted a combined 74,000 positions. The unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, but only because the labor force participation rate dropped to a five-year low of 61.5%. CME FedWatch now shows a 50.7% probability of a September hike, down sharply from 62.8% before the release.

June Nonfarm Payrolls Due at 8:30 AM — Consensus Expects 100,000 Jobs as Fed Rate-Hike Odds Hit 54.5% for 2026

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the June nonfarm payrolls report today at 8:30 AM ET, with Wall Street consensus at 100,000 new jobs versus 172,000 in May. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold at 4.3%, and average hourly earnings are expected at 0.3% month-over-month. Markets pricing a 54.5% chance of a Fed rate hike by year-end. Wednesday's soft ADP print of 98,000 private-sector jobs has left investors on edge ahead of the binary catalyst.

Meta Platforms Rises 8.8% on Meta Compute Cloud Launch — $145B AI Capex Strategy Reframed as Revenue Asset

Meta Platforms jumped 8.8% after Bloomberg reported the company plans to launch Meta Compute, a cloud business selling excess AI computing capacity and model access externally to compete with AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud. The move reframes Meta's $125 billion to $145 billion 2026 capital expenditure plan from a spending concern to a potential revenue engine. CEO Mark Zuckerberg's pivot offered the single biggest counterweight to Wednesday's broad semiconductor and tech selloff.

ADP June Payrolls Miss at 98,000 vs. 118,000 Estimate — Weakest Private Hiring Since May 2025 Signals Labor Cooling

U.S. private employers added 98,000 jobs in June, falling short of the 118,000 economist consensus and down from an unrevised 122,000 in May, according to ADP's National Employment Report released this morning. Annual pay grew 4.4% year-over-year. The miss sets up a cautious tone ahead of Friday's official nonfarm payrolls report and adds complexity to a Fed weighing sticky inflation against softening labor demand ahead of a potential 2026 rate hike.

Keir Starmer Resigns as UK Prime Minister — Andy Burnham Bid Triggers Pound Drop to 2026 Low

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced his resignation as Labour leader, clearing the path for newly elected MP Andy Burnham to seek the top job after winning the Makerfield by-election. The British pound fell to a 2026 low on fiscal policy uncertainty as a leadership contest begins, with nominations opening July 9. The political transition adds a fresh layer of global risk for US investors already weighing a hawkish Fed and Middle East diplomacy this week.

Treasury Yields Climb to 4.48% on 10-Year Ahead of Thursday's Core PCE Report — Markets Brace for Possible October Hike Signal

The 10-year Treasury yield rose more than 3 basis points to 4.483% as investors positioned ahead of Thursday's core PCE inflation report, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge. The move follows last week's hawkish FOMC meeting, in which the Fed held rates at 3.50%-3.75% but signaled nine of nineteen officials now project at least one rate hike before year-end. Financial and short-duration bond sectors are best positioned if inflation data confirms the Fed's more hawkish stance.

SLS Surges 17.66%: Unpacking the Catalyst Behind the Stock's Sharp Increase

SLS sees a significant one-day surge. Analysts point to a combination of sector rotation and overlooked earnings potential as key drivers.

OpenAI Weighs IPO Delay to 2027 at $1 Trillion Valuation — SoftBank Plunges 13%, KOSPI Triggers Circuit Breaker as Nasdaq 100 Futures Slide 0.9%

The New York Times reported that OpenAI is considering delaying its initial public offering until 2027, targeting a $1 trillion valuation rather than accepting a lower figure in choppy markets. The news sent SoftBank Group plunging 13%, wiping out 5.6 trillion yen in market value, and triggered an 8% collapse in South Korea's KOSPI that activated a circuit breaker. Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.9% as investors broadly reassessed AI-sector valuations heading into a pivotal quarter-end Friday.