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Defense Contractors Hold Gains as Iran Conflict Enters Second Week, Munitions Replenishment Cycle Accelerates

Shares of Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and RTX Corporation extended their month-to-date gains in Monday trading as the U.S.-Israel military operation against Iran continued into its tenth day. Analysts have framed the conflict as the beginning of a multi-year munitions replenishment supercycle, with the Pentagon fast-tracking procurement for interceptors, precision-guided weapons, and autonomous systems.

Fed Rate Cut Timeline Pushed to September as Oil Shock Complicates Monetary Policy Calculus

Rising oil prices and a deteriorating labor market have created a near-impossible policy environment for the Federal Reserve, with traders now pricing the next rate cut no earlier than September. The combination of a 92,000-job loss in February and oil prices above $100 per barrel has revived fears of stagflation not seen since the early 1980s, leaving policymakers with few clean options.

Trump's 15% Global Tariff Set to Take Full Effect This Week, Bessent Signals Rollback Within Five Months

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed Thursday that President Trump's revised 15% global tariff, enacted under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 following the Supreme Court's invalidation of IEEPA-based duties, will take full effect this week, though Bessent expressed confidence the rates would revert to prior levels within five months as trade authorities complete sector-specific assessments.

ADP Report: Private Payrolls Rise 63,000 in February, Beating Estimates but Revealing Narrow Job Growth

The ADP National Employment Report released Wednesday showed U.S. private employers added 63,000 jobs in February, topping consensus estimates of 50,000 and improving from a downwardly revised 11,000 in January. However, gains were concentrated almost entirely in construction and education and health services, with professional and business services shedding 30,000 positions, raising questions about underlying labor market breadth ahead of Friday's official nonfarm payrolls report.

Target Upgraded to Outperform by Telsey as Retailer Shows Early Signs of Sales Recovery

Shares of Target Corporation rose for a second consecutive session Wednesday after Telsey Advisory Group upgraded the retailer to Outperform from Market Perform, citing confidence in the company's strategy to recapture its merchandising identity and leverage AI across store operations. The upgrade follows a Tuesday earnings report in which CEO Michael Fiddelke said Target is "out of the gates strong" in 2026 after reporting a February sales increase that marked the company's first monthly gain in several quarters.

Target Beats Q4 Earnings Estimates as Holiday Rebound Fuels Optimism; Best Buy Posts Mixed Results

Target Corporation reported adjusted fourth-quarter earnings of $2.44 per share, handily topping Wall Street's $2.16 consensus, as the retailer pointed to improved sales trends in January as an encouraging milestone on its path to recovery. Best Buy posted a mixed quarter — beating on earnings per share but missing revenue estimates — while raising its quarterly dividend for the thirteenth consecutive year.

HSBC Strategists Slash U.S. Equity Overweight, Favor Global Markets

HSBC’s global strategists sharply reduced their overweight position in U.S. equities, reallocating toward emerging markets and European stocks as economic momentum abroad appears stronger. The shift reflects concerns about U.S. equity valuations and changing growth prospects, signaling cross-border flow impacts for market participants adjusting risk exposures.

Trump State of the Union Defends Tariff Regime, Vows Replacements After Supreme Court Setback

President Donald Trump delivered the longest televised State of the Union address in modern history on Tuesday evening, defending his sweeping tariff agenda and pledging to implement replacement levies under alternative legal authority following last week's Supreme Court ruling that struck down the majority of his IEEPA-based import taxes. Markets opened broadly higher Wednesday, suggesting investors interpreted the speech as providing policy clarity rather than fresh uncertainty.

Walmart Beats Q4 Estimates but Soft Full-Year Guidance Rattles Investors

Walmart delivered better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings and revenue on Thursday, fueled by robust e-commerce growth and expanding advertising revenue, but its full-year earnings outlook of $2.75 to $2.85 per share fell short of Wall Street's consensus of $2.96, sending shares modestly lower in premarket trading and raising questions about the pace of margin expansion under its new chief executive.