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Fed Seen Holding Rates Steady in March as Iran War Stokes Inflation Fears and Complicates Policy Path

The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at its upcoming March meeting, as surging oil prices from the U.S.-Iran conflict introduce a new inflationary wrinkle into an already complex monetary policy calculus. Markets are now watching the ISM Services PMI report due Tuesday for real-time signals on domestic economic health.

Broadcom, CrowdStrike and Costco Highlight Earnings and Sector Signals This Week

Key earnings events this week from major corporations such as Broadcom, CrowdStrike and Costco offer important signals for sectors ranging from semiconductors to cybersecurity and consumer retail. These earnings releases will provide investors with fresh insights into demand trends, margin pressures, and broader economic resilience as markets contend with volatility from macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.

Wall Street Braces for AI Disruption and Key Jobs Data in Market Week Ahead

U.S. markets are entering a pivotal week with artificial intelligence disruption looming large over investor expectations and volatility. As traders await critical jobs and inflation data, shifting sentiment on AI’s role in corporate spending is expected to influence sector performance and drive stock rotation across major indices.

Mortgage Rates Hit Three-Year Low, Offering Support to Housing and Financial Stocks

Mortgage rates in the U.S. have fallen to their lowest point in three years, potentially boosting housing demand and lending activity. The drop reflects broader bond market dynamics and could have spillover effects into financial and real estate sectors as borrowing costs ease.

BofA Strategist Warns of Bank Sector Risks and ETF Vulnerabilities

A Bank of America strategist is urging caution in the financial sector, highlighting rising risks in bank loan ETFs and potential market instability if key technical levels are broken. This cautionary outlook could influence investor positioning in banking and credit-sensitive assets.

Producer Price Index Surges in January, Crushing Rate-Cut Hopes and Sending Markets Lower

January's Producer Price Index rose 0.5% against a 0.3% consensus estimate, while core PPI surged 0.8% — more than double expectations. The hotter-than-forecast wholesale inflation data reinforced bets that the Federal Reserve will hold rates higher for longer, sending the Dow down more than 700 points and extending what is shaping up to be the S&P 500's worst monthly performance since March 2025.

Paramount Wins $110.9 Billion Battle for Warner Bros. Discovery as Netflix Exits Bidding War

Warner Bros. Discovery's board formally determined that Paramount Skydance's sweetened $31-per-share all-cash offer — valuing the entire company at roughly $110.9 billion — represents a superior proposal over Netflix's prior bid. Netflix, rather than match the offer, chose to walk away, surrendering its shot at the HBO Max library and leaving Paramount poised to build the largest legacy media empire in U.S. history.

Nvidia Posts Record Quarter but Shares Slide on AI Spending Concerns and Macro Headwinds

Nvidia reported fiscal fourth-quarter revenue of $68.13 billion and EPS of $1.62, both surpassing consensus estimates by wide margins — with data center revenue alone climbing 75% year-over-year to $62.3 billion. Despite what Morgan Stanley called the largest and cleanest beat in semiconductor history, shares fell more than 5% over two sessions as investors grew increasingly uneasy about whether hyperscaler AI capital expenditure is sustainable at current levels.

Block to Cut 40% of Workforce in AI-Driven Restructuring, Rattling Fintech Sector

Block, the payments and financial services company led by Jack Dorsey, announced it will eliminate approximately 40% of its workforce as part of a sweeping strategic restructuring tied to the adoption of artificial intelligence. The announcement sent S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures each down 0.4% before Friday's open and raised fresh concerns about AI-driven displacement across the broader fintech and financial services industry.