Mar 18, 2026
neutralFed Holds Rates at 3.50%–3.75%; Dot Plot and Powell Press Conference in Focus as Iran War Complicates Inflation Outlook
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday, with 99% market certainty baked into futures pricing. The real event for investors is the quarterly dot plot and Chair Jerome Powell's press conference, where the central bank must reconcile surging wholesale inflation, energy prices above $100, and a softening labor market — an increasingly stagflationary combination.







