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Federal Reserve Minutes Expected to Reveal Dovish Shift as Markets Price Two Rate Cuts in 2026

The Federal Reserve will release minutes from its January 16-17 policy meeting at 2 p.m. ET today, with investors seeking insights into policymakers' thinking after they held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75%. The document is expected to detail how officials weigh persistent inflation against signs of labor market stabilization, as markets now price in more than two quarter-point rate cuts by year-end following last week's benign CPI data.

Technology Stocks Rebound as AI Concerns Ease, Russell 2000 Outperforms with 1.2% Gain

U.S. equity markets extended gains on Tuesday with the S&P 500 rising modestly and technology stocks rebounding sharply from recent AI-driven selloffs. The Russell 2000 small-cap index surged 1.2% while most megacap tech companies advanced, with Nvidia leading gains following the Meta chip deal announcement. Nearly 350 constituents of the S&P 500 posted positive returns as investor sentiment improved on solid economic data and easing concerns about AI infrastructure spending sustainability.

Soft Inflation Data Adds to Rate Cut Considerations

New inflation figures showed smaller-than-expected CPI increases in January, reinforcing expectations for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts in coming months. While markets reacted modestly, rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and financials could see renewed interest if cut timing becomes clearer.

Kevin Warsh Nomination Advances as Markets Weigh Federal Reserve Independence Risk and Monetary Policy Shift

President Trump's nomination of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair remains a defining market overhang, with Senate confirmation complicated by bipartisan resistance tied to the administration's criminal investigation into Powell. As Powell's term expires in May, investors are recalibrating rate-cut expectations and reassessing rate-sensitive sectors from housing to financials given Warsh's historically hawkish monetary policy record.

Inflation Cools to 2.4% in January, Lowest Since May as Fed Rate Cut Hopes Intensify

U.S. consumer prices rose 2.4% year-over-year in January 2026, below the 2.5% consensus forecast and marking the slowest inflation pace since May 2025. The softer-than-expected reading sparked a Treasury yield decline to 4.07% and boosted market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts beginning as early as March, providing relief to rate-sensitive sectors.

Coinbase Surges 16% Despite Earnings Miss as $1 Billion Share Buyback Signals Confidence

Coinbase Global rallied 16.4% on Friday following fourth quarter results that missed revenue estimates but showcased $3.07 billion in free cash flow and completion of a $1 billion share buyback program. The cryptocurrency exchange's transformation into a diversified financial infrastructure platform attracted renewed institutional buying led by Cathie Wood's ARK Invest, which purchased $15.2 million in shares.

Earnings Movers: Applied Materials, Rivian, Coinbase Lead Stock Action

A broad set of individual stocks showed significant moves as investors assessed mixed earnings results and guidance. Semiconductor equipment maker Applied Materials and electric vehicle maker Rivian surged on strong quarterly results, while several other companies including Pinterest and DraftKings saw pronounced declines, illustrating divergent sector performance amid ongoing market volatility.

Steel Stocks Slip on Rumored Tariff Rollback

Shares of major U.S. steel producers fell as concerns mounted that the White House may roll back tariffs on imported steel and aluminum implemented in 2025. Investors are pricing in a potential reduction in protection for domestic producers, weighing on earnings outlooks for companies that had benefited from elevated commodity prices and strong domestic demand.

January CPI Inflation Cools to 2.4%, Beating Expectations and Boosting Fed Rate Cut Hopes

Consumer prices rose just 2.4% annually in January, falling below the anticipated 2.5% and marking the slowest pace since May 2025. Core inflation also eased to 2.5%, its lowest level since March 2021, providing relief to markets and strengthening the case for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026.