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February Durable Goods Orders Miss at -1.8% — Manufacturing Contraction Deepens Recession Watch

Orders for durable manufactured goods fell 1.8 percent in February 2026, worse than the expected 0.5 percent decline, while the critical non-defense capital goods ex-aircraft reading dropped 1.1 percent. The miss adds to a growing body of deteriorating economic data and pushed JPMorgan's U.S. recession probability estimate to 40 percent for 2026.

IEA Approves Record 400 Million-Barrel Emergency Oil Release, but Traders Remain Skeptical

The International Energy Agency's 32 member nations unanimously agreed Wednesday to release 400 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves—the largest coordinated drawdown in the organization's 52-year history. Despite the announcement, Brent crude remained above $90, as analysts said the release covers only a fraction of the ongoing supply disruption caused by the Strait of Hormuz blockade.