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Kevin Warsh Faces Senate Banking Committee Tuesday in High-Stakes Fed Chair Confirmation Hearing

Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee to succeed Chair Jerome Powell when his term expires May 15, appears before the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday at 10 a.m. ET. Markets are watching for signals on Fed independence, the pace of balance sheet reduction, and rate policy at a moment when energy-driven inflation and geopolitical uncertainty have left the central bank's path highly uncertain.

Retail Sales, Warsh Hearing, and Expiring Ceasefire: The Three Macro Events That Will Define This Week's Market Direction

Beyond the earnings deluge, three macro catalysts will determine whether the stock market's historic April rally can hold or unravel this week: Tuesday's retail sales data for March, expected at plus 1.4% month-over-month and closely watched as a consumer health indicator; Kevin Warsh's Fed chair confirmation hearing also Tuesday; and the Wednesday expiration of the US-Iran ceasefire, which now appears at serious risk of collapse following the weekend ship seizure and Hormuz re-closure.

Gold on Track for Worst Week Since 1983 as Iran War Paradox Crushes Safe-Haven Appeal, Rate-Hike Bets Surge

Gold is on pace for its worst weekly performance since 1983, shedding more than 10% week-to-date as a paradoxical dynamic grips precious metals markets: the Iran war that initially drove bullion to record highs above $5,400 per ounce has morphed into a catalyst for collapse, as the conflict's inflationary consequences harden the Federal Reserve's 'higher for longer' stance, push the U.S. dollar to multi-month highs, and force leveraged futures traders to liquidate positions at scale. Silver is simultaneously tracking toward its worst week since January 2026.

Hot PPI Data Rattles Wall Street as Wholesale Inflation Surges 0.7% in February, Doubling Expectations

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday that the Producer Price Index jumped 0.7% in February — more than double the 0.3% consensus estimate — pushing annual wholesale inflation to 3.4%, its highest level in a year. The hotter-than-expected reading, driven by a 48.9% spike in vegetable prices and broad goods inflation of 1.1%, arrived hours before the Federal Reserve's rate decision and reignited stagflation fears across equity and bond markets.

Fed Rate Cut Timeline Pushed to September as Oil Shock Complicates Monetary Policy Calculus

Rising oil prices and a deteriorating labor market have created a near-impossible policy environment for the Federal Reserve, with traders now pricing the next rate cut no earlier than September. The combination of a 92,000-job loss in February and oil prices above $100 per barrel has revived fears of stagflation not seen since the early 1980s, leaving policymakers with few clean options.

U.S. Dollar Eyes Weekly Gain Amid Global FX Flows

The U.S. dollar is on track for its strongest weekly performance in nearly a month as safe-haven flows and policy expectations bolster the currency. Amid broader equity sell-offs and shifts in central bank leadership expectations, the greenback’s gains underscore its role as a hedge asset while traders weigh potential interest rate trajectories.

Global Stock Markets Retreat as Precious Metals Selloff Sparks Risk Aversion

Global equity markets weakened Monday, with key indices sold off as a sharp decline in precious metals prices triggered broader risk-off positioning among institutional and retail investors alike. Traders moved to de-risk portfolios amid concerns that the metals selloff might presage downstream pressure on commodity-linked equities and alternative asset classes, dampening risk sentiment across major regions.

U.S. Dollar Set for Worst Week Since June as Policy Uncertainty Mounts

The U.S. dollar is poised for its steepest weekly decline since June as unpredictable fiscal and monetary policy signals weigh on confidence in the world’s reserve currency. Traders cite recent volatility in economic data, geopolitical tensions, and shifting expectations for Federal Reserve action as catalysts for the dollar’s weakness, feeding into broader currency and commodity market adjustments.

Criminal Investigation Into Federal Reserve Chair Powell Escalates Market Tensions

A rare criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has intensified concerns over central bank independence, rattling markets and the dollar while pushing gold higher.