Jul 1, 2026
neutralADP June Payrolls Miss at 98,000 vs. 118,000 Estimate — Weakest Private Hiring Since May 2025 Signals Labor Cooling
U.S. private employers added 98,000 jobs in June, falling short of the 118,000 economist consensus and down from an unrevised 122,000 in May, according to ADP's National Employment Report released this morning. Annual pay grew 4.4% year-over-year. The miss sets up a cautious tone ahead of Friday's official nonfarm payrolls report and adds complexity to a Fed weighing sticky inflation against softening labor demand ahead of a potential 2026 rate hike.



