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Kevin Warsh Faces Senate Banking Committee Tuesday in High-Stakes Fed Chair Confirmation Hearing

Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee to succeed Chair Jerome Powell when his term expires May 15, appears before the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday at 10 a.m. ET. Markets are watching for signals on Fed independence, the pace of balance sheet reduction, and rate policy at a moment when energy-driven inflation and geopolitical uncertainty have left the central bank's path highly uncertain.

Goldman Sachs Posts Near-Record Q1 Profit as Equities Desk Hits All-Time High; Shares Slip on FICC Miss

Goldman Sachs reported first-quarter 2026 net revenues of $17.23 billion and diluted EPS of $17.55, marking its second-best quarter on record. While the equities trading desk set an all-time revenue record at $5.33 billion, the fixed income, currencies, and commodities unit missed analyst expectations by roughly $850 million, sending shares lower by approximately 4% despite the headline beat.

Wall Street Braces for Most Consequential Earnings Week of 2026 as Big Banks and Goldman Report

Investors are heading into what analysts are calling the most pivotal earnings week of 2026, with Goldman Sachs reporting Monday, followed by JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley all releasing first-quarter results by Thursday — with markets looking for confirmation that the 'March Oil Shock' has not derailed the U.S. economic expansion and that the M&A and investment banking fee renaissance remains intact.

Wells Fargo Abandons All 2026 Fed Rate Cut Forecasts as Iran War Locks In Inflation; March CPI Due Friday

Wells Fargo Investment Institute announced Monday it no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at any point in 2026, abandoning its prior forecast of two cuts and citing oil-driven inflation from the Iran war and elevated geopolitical uncertainty. The announcement sets up Friday's March CPI report as a high-stakes macro event, with the Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcasting model projecting headline inflation surging from 2.4% to 3.16% year-over-year as the first full energy shock data is captured.

March Jobs Report Crushes Forecasts — 178,000 Payrolls Added, Unemployment Falls to 4.3%

Friday's March employment report delivered a decisive upside shock, with the U.S. economy adding 178,000 jobs against a consensus estimate of just 51,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3% — a powerful labor market signal that directly challenges the recession narrative heading into Q1 2026 earnings season kicking off this week.

Q1 2026 Earnings Season Kicks Off — JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Set to Report as Banks Navigate Tariff and Rate Uncertainty

Q1 2026 earnings season officially begins this week with major banks leading the charge, and Friday's blockbuster March jobs report — 178,000 payrolls added against a 51,000 consensus — has substantially improved the setup for financial sector results, even as the broader market navigates 15% global tariffs, $110 oil, and Moody's 49% recession probability estimate.

Major Banks Announce Expanded Share Buyback Programs Ahead of Q1 2026 Earnings

JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America each disclosed expanded share repurchase authorizations ahead of Q1 2026 earnings season, signaling confidence in capital positions and near-term earnings power. The announcements come as robust trading revenues and resilient net interest income support a broadly bullish bank sector outlook.

Markets Price 50% Chance of Fed Rate Hike by October as Powell's 'Hawkish Hold' Reverberates Through Risk Assets

Bond futures markets are pricing a 50% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by October 2026, a dramatic and rapid shift from the multiple rate cuts that were widely expected just three months ago, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference this week signaled that inflation progress has stalled and the Iran war's economic consequences will not meaningfully alter the central bank's calculus. The repricing has sent Treasury yields higher, crushed gold and growth stocks, and introduced the specter of stagflation across Wall Street's macro outlook.

Federal Reserve Holds Rates at 3.50%–3.75%, Flags Sticky Inflation and Iran War Uncertainty; Markets Sell Off on Powell's Hawkish Tone

The Federal Reserve voted 11-1 to keep its benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday, while its updated dot plot showed only one rate cut projected for all of 2026 and Chair Jerome Powell delivered a more hawkish-than-expected press conference that rattled markets. The Dow fell 768 points to its lowest close since November, as investors processed Powell's warning that higher energy prices could reignite inflation and that the Fed had 'not made as much progress on inflation as hoped.'