Keyword → geopolitical risk

Trump Signs Iran Peace Deal at Versailles — Oil Drops to $78.40 Brent as Strait of Hormuz Set to Reopen

President Trump signed an interim memorandum of understanding with Iran at the Palace of Versailles, reopening the Strait of Hormuz and lifting a U.S. naval blockade on Iranian ports. Brent crude fell more than 2% below $78 a barrel and WTI dropped near $74.69, while S&P 500 futures jumped 0.7% and Nasdaq futures rallied 1.1%, clawing back Wednesday's Fed-driven selloff. The 60-day deal requires Iran to dilute enriched uranium stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief.

US-Iran Ceasefire Sends Nasdaq Futures Up 2.2% — Oil Crashes Below $80 as Strait of Hormuz Reopens

Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 2.2% and S&P 500 futures rose 1.3% on Monday after the US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire that will reopen the Strait of Hormuz to oil traffic. Brent crude tumbled toward $83 a barrel from above $88, its sharpest drop in months. Gold and Bitcoin also climbed as risk appetite returned, while the dollar weakened against major currencies on reduced geopolitical risk premia.

U.S. Navy Seizes Iranian Cargo Ship Touska, Tehran Shuts Hormuz Again; Ceasefire Talks Collapse as Oil Surges 7%

The USS Spruance fired on and seized the Iranian-flagged cargo vessel Touska in the Gulf of Oman after it defied U.S. blockade warnings over six hours, triggering Iran to reimpose full closure of the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday. Tehran's foreign ministry announced Monday it has no plans to attend a second round of Islamabad peace talks, sending WTI crude surging 7% above $89 and U.S. equity futures falling sharply as the fragile ceasefire — set to expire Wednesday — appears on the brink of collapse.

Trump Orders U.S. Naval Blockade of Strait of Hormuz After Iran Peace Talks Collapse

President Trump ordered the U.S. Navy to blockade the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday after weekend peace negotiations in Islamabad between the U.S. and Iran ended without a deal. The move sent oil prices surging past $103 per barrel, rattled global equity markets, and reignited fears of a prolonged energy supply shock that could deepen inflationary pressures across the global economy.

Trump Threatens 50% Tariff on China Over Alleged Iran Arms Shipment, Escalating Trade and Geopolitical Tensions

President Trump on Sunday threatened to impose an immediate 50% tariff on Chinese goods if Beijing is proven to be supplying military weapons to Iran, following reports of a potential air defense system shipment. The warning compounds existing geopolitical stress and raises fresh concerns about U.S.-China trade relations ahead of a scheduled May summit, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already volatile global market environment.

Iran Ceasefire Hangs by a Thread as Vance Heads to Islamabad; Strait of Hormuz Remains Effectively Closed

Vice President JD Vance departed Friday for Islamabad to lead U.S. peace talks with Iran this weekend, even as the fragile two-week ceasefire announced Tuesday showed serious cracks — with the Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed, oil prices hovering near $98 per barrel, and both Iranian and Israeli leaders trading accusations of violations just days into the truce.

Fragile U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Leaves Strait of Hormuz Blocked, Oil Back Above $100

A two-week ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran sparked a historic rally on Wednesday, but optimism faded Thursday as Iran continued restricting tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing WTI crude back above $100 per barrel and sending equities lower after the prior session's surge.

Trump Declares 2-Week Iran Ceasefire: WTI Oil Crashes 15% to $95.75, Airlines Surge as Markets Whipsaw

President Trump declared a 2-week suspension of US military operations against Iran on April 8, 2026, following a 10-point peace proposal brokered through Pakistani intermediaries. WTI crude oil immediately crashed 15% from $112 to $95.75 per barrel while US equity index futures initially surged 3% before fading to flat. Airlines led all sectors, with United Airlines surging 13.3% and Delta reporting a Q1 2026 earnings beat on the same morning.

Trump's Iran Ultimatum Deadline Arrives: Markets Brace for Binary Outcome as Oil Tops $112

President Trump's self-imposed 8 p.m. ET deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — or face destruction of its civilian infrastructure — arrived Tuesday as global markets churned under binary event risk. WTI crude traded above $112 per barrel while equities oscillated in a narrow range, with the VIX surging nearly 6% to 25.30. A Pakistani-mediated 45-day ceasefire framework known as the Islamabad Accord has emerged from diplomatic back-channels, though sources indicate a deal before the hard deadline remained unlikely.