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Trump Signs Iran Peace Deal at Versailles — Oil Drops to $78.40 Brent as Strait of Hormuz Set to Reopen

President Trump signed an interim memorandum of understanding with Iran at the Palace of Versailles, reopening the Strait of Hormuz and lifting a U.S. naval blockade on Iranian ports. Brent crude fell more than 2% below $78 a barrel and WTI dropped near $74.69, while S&P 500 futures jumped 0.7% and Nasdaq futures rallied 1.1%, clawing back Wednesday's Fed-driven selloff. The 60-day deal requires Iran to dilute enriched uranium stockpiles in exchange for sanctions relief.

Brent Crude Falls to $78, Five-Day Low — Interim US-Iran Deal Set for Friday Signing Could Restore Hormuz Flows

Brent crude fell toward $78 a barrel today, its fifth straight losing session and the lowest level since early March, as traders priced in a planned interim agreement between the United States and Iran set to be signed in Switzerland on Friday. The deal would let Tehran immediately resume oil exports and ease restrictions on Strait of Hormuz shipping, prompting tanker operators to begin repositioning vessels toward the region. The International Energy Agency warned the shift could contribute to a renewed global oil surplus.

Oil Prices Drop 4.8% to $80.75 as Iran Deal Reopens Strait of Hormuz — Energy Sector ETF Falls 3.6%

U.S. crude oil fell 4.8% to $80.75 a barrel and Brent crude dropped 4.7% to $83.17 after the United States and Iran reached a preliminary agreement to end their conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a route handling roughly 20% of global oil supply. The Energy Select Sector SPDR fund slid 3.6% even as the broader market rallied, with analysts cautioning that full shipping traffic normalization could take months.

Oil Rockets 10% as President Trump Issues Direct Military Warning to Iran — WTI Hits $110 Per Barrel

WTI crude futures surged more than 10% to $110.21 per barrel Thursday after President Trump issued a direct public warning of military action against Iran within two to three weeks, sending energy stocks sharply higher and triggering a wave of defensive positioning across airlines, shipping companies, and consumer-facing businesses with significant fuel-cost exposure.

OPEC+ Reaffirms Output Cuts Through Q2 2026, Keeping Oil Markets Tight

OPEC+ ministers reaffirmed their collective output reduction strategy through the end of Q2 2026, citing persistent demand uncertainty from China and the potential impact of U.S. tariff policy on global trade flows. Brent crude held above $76 per barrel following the announcement, supporting energy sector equities across integrated majors and upstream producers.

Oil Holds Near $118 as Hormuz Risk Fully Priced — Energy Rotation Into Integrated Majors Begins

Brent crude stabilized near $118 per barrel Wednesday as analysts concluded the Persian Gulf risk premium is now fully priced absent a direct Hormuz attack. Rotation within the energy sector accelerated as investors moved from high-beta E&P names into diversified integrated majors and midstream companies offering more defensive earnings profiles.

Brent Crude Breaks $121 as Third U.S. Carrier Strike Group Enters Persian Gulf; OPEC+ Maintains Output Freeze

Brent crude broke above $121 per barrel for the first time since 2022 as the Pentagon confirmed a third carrier strike group entering the Persian Gulf, while OPEC+ ministers meeting in Vienna reaffirmed their production freeze through at least June, removing any prospect of supply relief and pushing Goldman Sachs to raise its 90-day Brent target to $130.

Energy Sector Posts Third Consecutive Weekly Gain as XOM and CVX Hit Multi-Year Highs on $118 Oil

The energy sector extended its remarkable 2026 outperformance on Friday with a third consecutive weekly gain as Exxon Mobil and Chevron closed at their highest levels in nearly two years, ONEOK surged an additional 2.3% on a bullish throughput update, and the XLE ETF is now up approximately 34% year-to-date in stark contrast to the S&P 500's double-digit year-to-date loss.

Stock Futures Rise as Investors Rotate Toward Energy and Defense

U.S. stock futures moved higher Monday despite geopolitical tensions, as investors rotated capital toward energy producers and defense contractors. The shift reflects growing expectations that prolonged geopolitical risk could sustain elevated oil prices and drive increased government defense spending. Market strategists say the rotation highlights a broader repositioning across global portfolios as investors seek sectors with resilient earnings during periods of macroeconomic uncertainty.