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US-Iran Ceasefire Sends Nasdaq Futures Up 2.2% — Oil Crashes Below $80 as Strait of Hormuz Reopens

Nasdaq 100 futures jumped 2.2% and S&P 500 futures rose 1.3% on Monday after the US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire that will reopen the Strait of Hormuz to oil traffic. Brent crude tumbled toward $83 a barrel from above $88, its sharpest drop in months. Gold and Bitcoin also climbed as risk appetite returned, while the dollar weakened against major currencies on reduced geopolitical risk premia.

Fox Corp Buys Roku for $22 Billion — Roku Shares Rise 2.8% While Fox Slides 9.5% on Deal Terms

Fox Corporation is acquiring streaming platform Roku in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at approximately $22 billion, or about $160 per Roku share. Roku shares rose roughly 2.8% to $147.74 in premarket trading, while Fox shares dropped about 9.5% to $53.33 as investors weighed the dilution from the deal. The combination gives Fox access to Roku's streaming platform, first-party viewer data, and over 100 million global households.

SpaceX Stock (SPCX) Holds Near $161 After 19% IPO Pop — Surpasses Tesla as Sixth Most Valuable US Company

SpaceX stock (SPCX) is trading near $160.95 after closing up nearly 20% on its Nasdaq debut, surpassing Tesla to become the sixth most valuable US company by market capitalization. The IPO priced at $135 per share, raising about $75 billion at an implied valuation of roughly $1.77 trillion, the largest public market debut in history. Investors are now watching whether the stock can sustain momentum into its first full trading week.

Fed Faces June 17 FOMC Decision With 89% Odds of No Change — 4.2% CPI Keeps Cut Hopes on Ice

The Federal Reserve's FOMC meets June 16-17, with prediction markets assigning roughly 89% to 99% odds that the federal funds rate stays unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. May CPI came in at 4.2% year-over-year, well above the Fed's 2% target, while unemployment near 4.3% has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts. Investors are watching closely for any shift in the Fed's policy bias under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

U.S. Navy Seizes Iranian Cargo Ship Touska, Tehran Shuts Hormuz Again; Ceasefire Talks Collapse as Oil Surges 7%

The USS Spruance fired on and seized the Iranian-flagged cargo vessel Touska in the Gulf of Oman after it defied U.S. blockade warnings over six hours, triggering Iran to reimpose full closure of the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday. Tehran's foreign ministry announced Monday it has no plans to attend a second round of Islamabad peace talks, sending WTI crude surging 7% above $89 and U.S. equity futures falling sharply as the fragile ceasefire — set to expire Wednesday — appears on the brink of collapse.

Kevin Warsh Faces Senate Banking Committee Tuesday in High-Stakes Fed Chair Confirmation Hearing

Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee to succeed Chair Jerome Powell when his term expires May 15, appears before the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday at 10 a.m. ET. Markets are watching for signals on Fed independence, the pace of balance sheet reduction, and rate policy at a moment when energy-driven inflation and geopolitical uncertainty have left the central bank's path highly uncertain.

Magnificent Seven ETF Up 14% in April as Big Tech Rally Faces Its First Real Test of the Week

The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF has surged more than 14% in April alone — on track for its largest monthly gain on record — led by Tesla's 15% weekly rally and Microsoft's near-14% weekly gain, its best week since 2007. But with the group's collective Q1 earnings expected to show 20% EPS growth and Iran tensions reigniting Monday, analysts warn the rally's technical foundation remains fragile without broader market breadth confirmation.

Retail Sales, Warsh Hearing, and Expiring Ceasefire: The Three Macro Events That Will Define This Week's Market Direction

Beyond the earnings deluge, three macro catalysts will determine whether the stock market's historic April rally can hold or unravel this week: Tuesday's retail sales data for March, expected at plus 1.4% month-over-month and closely watched as a consumer health indicator; Kevin Warsh's Fed chair confirmation hearing also Tuesday; and the Wednesday expiration of the US-Iran ceasefire, which now appears at serious risk of collapse following the weekend ship seizure and Hormuz re-closure.

Trump Orders U.S. Naval Blockade of Strait of Hormuz After Iran Peace Talks Collapse

President Trump ordered the U.S. Navy to blockade the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday after weekend peace negotiations in Islamabad between the U.S. and Iran ended without a deal. The move sent oil prices surging past $103 per barrel, rattled global equity markets, and reignited fears of a prolonged energy supply shock that could deepen inflationary pressures across the global economy.