Keyword → Iran war

Trump's Iran Ultimatum Deadline Arrives: Markets Brace for Binary Outcome as Oil Tops $112

President Trump's self-imposed 8 p.m. ET deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz — or face destruction of its civilian infrastructure — arrived Tuesday as global markets churned under binary event risk. WTI crude traded above $112 per barrel while equities oscillated in a narrow range, with the VIX surging nearly 6% to 25.30. A Pakistani-mediated 45-day ceasefire framework known as the Islamabad Accord has emerged from diplomatic back-channels, though sources indicate a deal before the hard deadline remained unlikely.

Energy Crisis Deepens: Hormuz Blockade Removes Nearly One Billion Barrels From Global Supply as Gasoline Hits $4.11

The ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has removed nearly one billion barrels of oil equivalent from global supply according to TD Securities estimates, as WTI crude climbed to $112.41 per barrel Tuesday. National average gasoline prices reached $4.11 per gallon — 38% above pre-war levels — while the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas warned a sustained closure could shave 2.9% from quarterly U.S. GDP. Goldman Sachs forecasts WTI could reach $130 if the Strait remains shut through month-end.

White House Unveils Record $1.5 Trillion Defense Budget as Stocks Pull Back on Ceasefire Hopes

The White House unveiled a record $1.5 trillion defense budget proposal for fiscal year 2027, the largest military spending request in U.S. history, citing active munitions depletion from Operation Epic Fury and urgent stockpile replenishment needs. The announcement came as Lockheed Martin, RTX, and Northrop Grumman retreated sharply on April 6 when the Islamabad Accord ceasefire framework emerged, unwinding part of the war-driven premium that had stretched the aerospace and defense sector to 32 times forward earnings.

S&P 500 Breaks 200-Day Moving Average, Posts Fourth Straight Weekly Loss as Pentagon Deploys Marines and Stagflation Fears Mount

The S&P 500 broke decisively below its 200-day moving average on Friday, closing at approximately 6,606 and recording its fourth consecutive weekly decline — the longest such losing streak in a year — as the Wall Street Journal reported the Pentagon is deploying three additional warships and thousands of Marines to the Middle East, sending bond yields higher and traders pricing in a 50% probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike by October. Energy stocks were the sole bright spot, while real estate, utilities, and technology led broad sector declines.

Gold on Track for Worst Week Since 1983 as Iran War Paradox Crushes Safe-Haven Appeal, Rate-Hike Bets Surge

Gold is on pace for its worst weekly performance since 1983, shedding more than 10% week-to-date as a paradoxical dynamic grips precious metals markets: the Iran war that initially drove bullion to record highs above $5,400 per ounce has morphed into a catalyst for collapse, as the conflict's inflationary consequences harden the Federal Reserve's 'higher for longer' stance, push the U.S. dollar to multi-month highs, and force leveraged futures traders to liquidate positions at scale. Silver is simultaneously tracking toward its worst week since January 2026.

Pentagon Sends USS Boxer and 2,500 More Marines to Persian Gulf as Iran Escalation Deepens; Oil Resumes Climb

The Pentagon on Friday approved the deployment of the USS Boxer amphibious ready group and the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit — comprising roughly 2,500 Marines and three additional warships — to U.S. Central Command, marking the second major marine deployment in a week and bringing total American personnel in the Middle East to approximately 50,000. The development, first reported by the Wall Street Journal, accelerated an already weak stock market selloff and pushed Brent crude back toward $110 as Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions showed no signs of easing.

Iran Strikes Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG Hub Twice in 12 Hours; Brent Crude Briefly Surges Past $119 as Global Energy Crisis Deepens

Iranian missile strikes inflicted 'extensive damage' on Qatar's Ras Laffan Industrial City — the world's largest LNG export hub — sending Brent crude briefly above $119 a barrel on Thursday before it retreated to around $114. The attacks, which came in retaliation for Israeli strikes on Iran's South Pars gas field, have paralyzed nearly 20% of global LNG supply, triggered drone strikes on Saudi and Kuwaiti refineries, and raised the specter of a full-scale stagflationary energy shock across the global economy.

Gold Trades Near $4,571 as Stagflation Fears and Iran War Escalation Drive Safe-Haven Surge; J.P. Morgan Targets $5,055 by Year-End

Gold is trading near $4,571 per ounce on Thursday, having rallied sharply from under $3,000 earlier in 2025, as the Iran war, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and rising stagflation fears combine to make bullion one of the most compelling safe-haven assets in the current environment. J.P. Morgan Global Research is targeting $5,055 per ounce by year-end 2026, while some models project a path toward $6,500 if the energy crisis deepens and real yields fall as growth deteriorates.

Brent Crude Spikes to $106 After Iran Strikes South Pars Gas Field; Strait of Hormuz Fears Escalate

Global oil benchmark Brent crude spiked 3.1% to above $106 per barrel on Wednesday after Iran reported an attack on its South Pars natural gas processing complex — the world's largest gas field — in apparent retaliation for recent Israeli strikes. The development reignited fears that the conflict could escalate toward a full blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 20% of the world's oil supply transits daily.