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Boeing Jumps 4.5% as Strait of Hormuz Peace Deal Eases Jet Fuel Cost Pressure on Airlines

Boeing shares climbed 4.5% after a U.S.-Iran agreement raised hopes that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen, easing fears of prolonged elevated jet fuel costs for airlines. Lower oil prices improve the profitability outlook for carriers, which analysts say increases the likelihood of advanced aircraft orders and on-schedule deliveries. The move follows Boeing's report of a 33% jump in May aircraft deliveries, signaling a broader production recovery for the aerospace giant.

Fed Faces June 17 FOMC Decision With 89% Odds of No Change — 4.2% CPI Keeps Cut Hopes on Ice

The Federal Reserve's FOMC meets June 16-17, with prediction markets assigning roughly 89% to 99% odds that the federal funds rate stays unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. May CPI came in at 4.2% year-over-year, well above the Fed's 2% target, while unemployment near 4.3% has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts. Investors are watching closely for any shift in the Fed's policy bias under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

Kevin Warsh Faces Senate Banking Committee Tuesday in High-Stakes Fed Chair Confirmation Hearing

Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee to succeed Chair Jerome Powell when his term expires May 15, appears before the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday at 10 a.m. ET. Markets are watching for signals on Fed independence, the pace of balance sheet reduction, and rate policy at a moment when energy-driven inflation and geopolitical uncertainty have left the central bank's path highly uncertain.

Goldman Sachs Posts Near-Record Q1 Profit as Equities Desk Hits All-Time High; Shares Slip on FICC Miss

Goldman Sachs reported first-quarter 2026 net revenues of $17.23 billion and diluted EPS of $17.55, marking its second-best quarter on record. While the equities trading desk set an all-time revenue record at $5.33 billion, the fixed income, currencies, and commodities unit missed analyst expectations by roughly $850 million, sending shares lower by approximately 4% despite the headline beat.

Iran Ceasefire Hangs by a Thread as Vance Heads to Islamabad; Strait of Hormuz Remains Effectively Closed

Vice President JD Vance departed Friday for Islamabad to lead U.S. peace talks with Iran this weekend, even as the fragile two-week ceasefire announced Tuesday showed serious cracks — with the Strait of Hormuz still effectively closed, oil prices hovering near $98 per barrel, and both Iranian and Israeli leaders trading accusations of violations just days into the truce.

Wall Street Braces for Most Consequential Earnings Week of 2026 as Big Banks and Goldman Report

Investors are heading into what analysts are calling the most pivotal earnings week of 2026, with Goldman Sachs reporting Monday, followed by JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, BlackRock, Bank of America, and Morgan Stanley all releasing first-quarter results by Thursday — with markets looking for confirmation that the 'March Oil Shock' has not derailed the U.S. economic expansion and that the M&A and investment banking fee renaissance remains intact.

Wells Fargo Abandons All 2026 Fed Rate Cut Forecasts as Iran War Locks In Inflation; March CPI Due Friday

Wells Fargo Investment Institute announced Monday it no longer expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at any point in 2026, abandoning its prior forecast of two cuts and citing oil-driven inflation from the Iran war and elevated geopolitical uncertainty. The announcement sets up Friday's March CPI report as a high-stakes macro event, with the Cleveland Fed's Inflation Nowcasting model projecting headline inflation surging from 2.4% to 3.16% year-over-year as the first full energy shock data is captured.

One Year After Liberation Day — S&P 500 Down 7% YTD but Markets Have Defied the Crash Predictions

Wednesday marked the one-year anniversary of President Trump's April 2, 2025 Liberation Day tariff announcement, and despite a rocky 12 months that saw the Supreme Court strike down IEEPA tariffs and a replacement 15% global baseline imposed, the S&P 500 has not crashed — but it has underperformed dramatically, down 7% year-to-date as global investors reassess American exceptionalism.

Q1 2026 Earnings Season Kicks Off — JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs Set to Report as Banks Navigate Tariff and Rate Uncertainty

Q1 2026 earnings season officially begins this week with major banks leading the charge, and Friday's blockbuster March jobs report — 178,000 payrolls added against a 51,000 consensus — has substantially improved the setup for financial sector results, even as the broader market navigates 15% global tariffs, $110 oil, and Moody's 49% recession probability estimate.