Keyword → neutral

Federal Reserve Targets 3.50%-3.75% Rate Hold Today — Kevin Warsh's First Press Conference Tests 55% Hawkish Bet

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold its benchmark interest rate at 3.50% to 3.75% when it concludes a two-day policy meeting this afternoon, the first under new Chairman Kevin Warsh. CME FedWatch data points to a roughly 97% probability of no change, but a Bank of America survey found 55% of respondents expect Warsh to strike a hawkish tone at his 2:30 p.m. press conference. An updated dot plot and economic projections due alongside the statement will offer the clearest signal yet on the rate path into 2027.

CarMax Beats With $1.31 EPS on $8.01B Revenue in Q1 Fiscal 2027 — Stock Erases 5% Spike on Margin Concerns

CarMax reported fiscal first-quarter 2027 earnings of $1.31 per diluted share on revenue of $8.01 billion, both well ahead of analyst estimates of $0.96 per share and $7.43 billion. Shares spiked as much as 5% before erasing those gains as investors focused on a $230 year-over-year decline in gross profit per retail used unit. New CEO Keith Barr introduced a four-pillar strategic framework aimed at driving consistent unit growth and shareholder returns.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Opens First FOMC Meeting Today — Rate Hold at 3.50%-3.75% Widely Expected

The Federal Reserve opened a two-day FOMC meeting today, the first chaired by Kevin Warsh, with markets pricing in a near-certain hold on the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%. Investors are focused less on the rate decision itself and more on Warsh's tone, the updated dot plot, and Wednesday's press conference for signals on policy direction into 2027 amid sticky inflation and pressure from the White House for lower rates.

Bitcoin Slips Below $66,000 Despite Iran Peace Deal as Traders Eye Trump Reversal Risk

Bitcoin briefly rose above $67,000 before slipping to trade near $65,845, up just 0.3% on the day despite a broad equity rally tied to the U.S.-Iran peace memorandum. The muted crypto reaction contrasts with the S&P 500's 1.7% gain and Nasdaq's 3.1% surge, with traders citing caution over the durability of the deal and the approaching Fed decision as reasons for the divergence.

Fox Corp Buys Roku for $22 Billion — Roku Shares Rise 2.8% While Fox Slides 9.5% on Deal Terms

Fox Corporation is acquiring streaming platform Roku in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at approximately $22 billion, or about $160 per Roku share. Roku shares rose roughly 2.8% to $147.74 in premarket trading, while Fox shares dropped about 9.5% to $53.33 as investors weighed the dilution from the deal. The combination gives Fox access to Roku's streaming platform, first-party viewer data, and over 100 million global households.

Fed Faces June 17 FOMC Decision With 89% Odds of No Change — 4.2% CPI Keeps Cut Hopes on Ice

The Federal Reserve's FOMC meets June 16-17, with prediction markets assigning roughly 89% to 99% odds that the federal funds rate stays unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%. May CPI came in at 4.2% year-over-year, well above the Fed's 2% target, while unemployment near 4.3% has reduced expectations for near-term rate cuts. Investors are watching closely for any shift in the Fed's policy bias under new Chair Kevin Warsh.

Kevin Warsh Faces Senate Banking Committee Tuesday in High-Stakes Fed Chair Confirmation Hearing

Former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee to succeed Chair Jerome Powell when his term expires May 15, appears before the Senate Banking Committee Tuesday at 10 a.m. ET. Markets are watching for signals on Fed independence, the pace of balance sheet reduction, and rate policy at a moment when energy-driven inflation and geopolitical uncertainty have left the central bank's path highly uncertain.

Magnificent Seven ETF Up 14% in April as Big Tech Rally Faces Its First Real Test of the Week

The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF has surged more than 14% in April alone — on track for its largest monthly gain on record — led by Tesla's 15% weekly rally and Microsoft's near-14% weekly gain, its best week since 2007. But with the group's collective Q1 earnings expected to show 20% EPS growth and Iran tensions reigniting Monday, analysts warn the rally's technical foundation remains fragile without broader market breadth confirmation.

Goldman Sachs Posts Near-Record Q1 Profit as Equities Desk Hits All-Time High; Shares Slip on FICC Miss

Goldman Sachs reported first-quarter 2026 net revenues of $17.23 billion and diluted EPS of $17.55, marking its second-best quarter on record. While the equities trading desk set an all-time revenue record at $5.33 billion, the fixed income, currencies, and commodities unit missed analyst expectations by roughly $850 million, sending shares lower by approximately 4% despite the headline beat.